• It’s been a great century

    Sure, the century could have been better and the next one could be even better still, but it is remarkable how far we’ve come. The figures for the chart below and the quotes that follow it are from Rick Mayes’ and Thomas Oliver’s JHPPL paper Chronic Disease and the Shifting Focus of Public Health: Is Prevention Still a Political Lightweight?.

    Yes, the early 2000s probability of maternal death is there, it’s just so small that you can hardly see it. In addition to these impressive gains, life expectancy rose from 50 to 78 years over the century. Leading causes of death in 1900 were pneumonia, influenza, diarrhea, injuries, and cancer, in that order. Today they are cancer, heart disease, stroke, emphysema, and injuries. All these changes are largely due to great strides in public health.

    The successes in reducing child mortality rates and increasing life expectancy in most parts of the world over the last century were due far more to public health programs and investments than to the investments and advances in curative medicine, impressive as they have been.

    Yet we are not investing much in public health these days. Why not?

    In 2005 mean total per capita state and local public health spending was $149 (Beitsch et al. 2006), whereas approximately $5,267 per person in the United States was spent on health care. […]

    But why do public health professionals and agencies […] still lack reliable public support and resources to address the coming health and financial threats associated with chronic illness and disability?

    That’s what the paper is about. In case you don’t have access to it, here’s the short version of the authors’ answer:

    (1) public health benefits are generally dispersed and delayed; (2) benefactors of public health are generally unknown and taken for granted; (3) the costs of many public health initiatives are concentrated and generate opposition from those who would pay them; and (4) public health often clashes with moral values or social norms.

    It isn’t always about life and death, is it? No. Sometimes it’s about power, money, and values. Yet they kill just as surely. It’s a trade-off we infrequently recognize or even can bear to face.


    • Thanks for highlighting this great article. Yes, public health measures have a large payback but as the author points out, it’s not easy to charge people for these services so they end up being funded by government and NGOs which are susceptible to attack by “free market capitalists”.
      Unfortunately, public health is inherently “socialist” and the 1% are full attack mode against anything that would reduce their profits and this includes health and safety regulations as well as public health measures.
      We really do need a more socialist government but the 1% are in position to buy our legislators so all we will get is more wealth at the top and less health at the bottom.

    • The Ambulance Down in the Valley, by Joseph Malins.

    • This does look like a drastic drop. But can you report on n’s. Was this a constant time trend also, or were there peaks and valleys. I ask because I wonder if you see sharp increases in times of war, or recessions. A good paper can be written on this. Doug Almond at Columbia appears to have this market really cornered with Janet Currie (see Killing me Softly). Also this actually comes in contrast from what I have read about the United States (I know you are highlighting the international context).