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	<title>Comments on: Price Differentials Are Not Evidence of Cost Shifting</title>
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	<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/</link>
	<description>Economics, Health Policy, Law, Life: Musings of Curious Minds.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 16:50:05 -0600</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Roger</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-1496</link>
		<dc:creator>Roger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jan 2010 18:34:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-1496</guid>
		<description>I guess when Mayo Clinic says that they can no longer cover the losses on Medicare patients in certain departments to the point that they are no longer accepting medicare patients in those departments that they are not cost shifting?   So I get it.  When providers make explicit statements that they are managing their portofolio of patients to manage cover their costs they are not cost shifting unless it is confirmed by some study?

I think some &quot;reality freebasing&quot; is in order here.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I guess when Mayo Clinic says that they can no longer cover the losses on Medicare patients in certain departments to the point that they are no longer accepting medicare patients in those departments that they are not cost shifting?   So I get it.  When providers make explicit statements that they are managing their portofolio of patients to manage cover their costs they are not cost shifting unless it is confirmed by some study?</p>
<p>I think some &#8220;reality freebasing&#8221; is in order here.</p>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-611</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 19:13:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-611</guid>
		<description>@anon - Staying focused: Is there any credible evidence in favor of the cost shifting claim? So far, &lt;a href=&quot;http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-cost-shifting-show-me-the-studies/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;no&lt;/a&gt;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@anon &#8211; Staying focused: Is there any credible evidence in favor of the cost shifting claim? So far, <a href="http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-cost-shifting-show-me-the-studies/" rel="nofollow">no</a>.</p>
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		<title>By: anon</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-610</link>
		<dc:creator>anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 17:47:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-610</guid>
		<description>Yes, if a government takes over a sector the goods will not become more expensive. Really?

Have you ever, ever, in the history of mankind ever recorded a single government good that was provided for cheaper than the public sector?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, if a government takes over a sector the goods will not become more expensive. Really?</p>
<p>Have you ever, ever, in the history of mankind ever recorded a single government good that was provided for cheaper than the public sector?</p>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-576</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2009 14:26:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-576</guid>
		<description>@Birju Patel - I like your store card analogy. It is better than the chicken purchase one for the reasons you state. Let&#039;s tweak it a bit to make it even better. Suppose my large employer has a purchasing program (in fact it actually does, as did my prior one). Through it I get access to certain durable goods (in particular cars) at pre-negotiated prices. Merchants, retailers, manufacturers participate because they get more reliable and higher volume. Employees participate for the lower prices. Meanwhile, those outside the program pay higher prices. That is a price differential.

To what extent is it a cost shift? Well, what is a cost shift? A cost shift occurs when the lower price paid through the employer discount program causes the price others pay to be higher than it otherwise would be. It need not be dollar-for-dollar higher. Perhaps there is a cost shift of 10% or 20%. How would we find it? Strong evidence would be if variations in the discount price were related to variations in the non-discount price, all other things being equal. 

Move to health care. There have been studies that have looked for exactly that type of causal relationship. MedPAC, CBO, and I have looked at those studies. They either show no cost shifting in health care or a very low level of it, on the order of 4-17%. 

Meanwhile, the Miliman report gives the impression that the cost shift is dollar-for-dollar. That&#039;s because they look at price differentials and call it a cost shift. That&#039;s just not right.

I challenge anyone to find a recent (within the last decade), peer-reviewed, body of work, not obviously conflicted through relationships with insurers or providers that shows a significant cost shift. If you find it, send it to me. I will read it. I will blog about it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Birju Patel &#8211; I like your store card analogy. It is better than the chicken purchase one for the reasons you state. Let&#8217;s tweak it a bit to make it even better. Suppose my large employer has a purchasing program (in fact it actually does, as did my prior one). Through it I get access to certain durable goods (in particular cars) at pre-negotiated prices. Merchants, retailers, manufacturers participate because they get more reliable and higher volume. Employees participate for the lower prices. Meanwhile, those outside the program pay higher prices. That is a price differential.</p>
<p>To what extent is it a cost shift? Well, what is a cost shift? A cost shift occurs when the lower price paid through the employer discount program causes the price others pay to be higher than it otherwise would be. It need not be dollar-for-dollar higher. Perhaps there is a cost shift of 10% or 20%. How would we find it? Strong evidence would be if variations in the discount price were related to variations in the non-discount price, all other things being equal. </p>
<p>Move to health care. There have been studies that have looked for exactly that type of causal relationship. MedPAC, CBO, and I have looked at those studies. They either show no cost shifting in health care or a very low level of it, on the order of 4-17%. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, the Miliman report gives the impression that the cost shift is dollar-for-dollar. That&#8217;s because they look at price differentials and call it a cost shift. That&#8217;s just not right.</p>
<p>I challenge anyone to find a recent (within the last decade), peer-reviewed, body of work, not obviously conflicted through relationships with insurers or providers that shows a significant cost shift. If you find it, send it to me. I will read it. I will blog about it.</p>
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		<title>By: Birju Patel</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-575</link>
		<dc:creator>Birju Patel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2009 13:22:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-575</guid>
		<description>Something seems problematic here for me: the bargaining power that insurers have is not based on efficiency or scale; it&#039;s based on the contract with subscribers to only go to certain hospitals in the plan, which is not a real efficiency and doesn&#039;t create real value (their value is in cost sharing good treatment, not deciding treatment facilities). And importantly, having an insurance company deliver a patient to a hospital (versus them finding it on their own if they were uninsured) and getting billed is very different than how we purchase chickens. The hospital service is going to be delivered the same way to the patient no matter how they got there, as long as they pay comparable rates (because doctors prescribe and deliver treatments, not insurance companies).

My take is that since there was never real value being created in how insurers channel hospital use by consumers, we&#039;ve always been cost shifting -- the uninsured have been picking up the tab for the &quot;value&quot; that insurers have supposedly been creating in this domain. The price differential is a result of many iterations of cost shifting and finding an equilibrium in which the uninsured still can afford to pay and the insured still feel like they&#039;re getting a bargain.

Better than chickens: let&#039;s use the frequent shopper card at my grocery store. If I join the free program, I get lower rates; if I don&#039;t (because I don&#039;t think I&#039;ll be using the services much, but in fact I do; cause heck, I really like milk), I end up paying the higher rates and subsidizing the people who have joined (if they are in fact getting a discount). The grocery store probably created this program for marketing purposes: to watch my spending habits. But here lies the problem: the supermarket isn&#039;t creating real value for me (having the shopper card doesn&#039;t change the way milk is produced or distributed, so there is no market efficiency here). Instead, the supermarket picks up the value of the system: they have personalized marketing data on my habits that I would normally want to protect, and they&#039;ve gotten me to identify with their shopping brand (by having my carry around their card).

(and even if I&#039;m not subsidizing the cost of milk for those who have joined the program because their price is the true price of the product, I am contributing to the store&#039;s profits, so my point is still useful here.. since the price differential facilitates the store&#039;s business model)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Something seems problematic here for me: the bargaining power that insurers have is not based on efficiency or scale; it&#8217;s based on the contract with subscribers to only go to certain hospitals in the plan, which is not a real efficiency and doesn&#8217;t create real value (their value is in cost sharing good treatment, not deciding treatment facilities). And importantly, having an insurance company deliver a patient to a hospital (versus them finding it on their own if they were uninsured) and getting billed is very different than how we purchase chickens. The hospital service is going to be delivered the same way to the patient no matter how they got there, as long as they pay comparable rates (because doctors prescribe and deliver treatments, not insurance companies).</p>
<p>My take is that since there was never real value being created in how insurers channel hospital use by consumers, we&#8217;ve always been cost shifting &#8212; the uninsured have been picking up the tab for the &#8220;value&#8221; that insurers have supposedly been creating in this domain. The price differential is a result of many iterations of cost shifting and finding an equilibrium in which the uninsured still can afford to pay and the insured still feel like they&#8217;re getting a bargain.</p>
<p>Better than chickens: let&#8217;s use the frequent shopper card at my grocery store. If I join the free program, I get lower rates; if I don&#8217;t (because I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;ll be using the services much, but in fact I do; cause heck, I really like milk), I end up paying the higher rates and subsidizing the people who have joined (if they are in fact getting a discount). The grocery store probably created this program for marketing purposes: to watch my spending habits. But here lies the problem: the supermarket isn&#8217;t creating real value for me (having the shopper card doesn&#8217;t change the way milk is produced or distributed, so there is no market efficiency here). Instead, the supermarket picks up the value of the system: they have personalized marketing data on my habits that I would normally want to protect, and they&#8217;ve gotten me to identify with their shopping brand (by having my carry around their card).</p>
<p>(and even if I&#8217;m not subsidizing the cost of milk for those who have joined the program because their price is the true price of the product, I am contributing to the store&#8217;s profits, so my point is still useful here.. since the price differential facilitates the store&#8217;s business model)</p>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-572</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 10:39:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-572</guid>
		<description>@ed johnson - Public prices are set by a political process (though called &quot;administrative pricing,&quot; which is a misnomer). Private prices are set by negotiation, and are subject to forces of market power. The extent to which any price is sufficient depends in large part on cost. MedPAC&#039;s report, to which I linked in an &lt;a href=&quot;http://theincidentaleconomist.com/the-health-care-cost-shifting-myth/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;earlier post&lt;/a&gt; on this topic is good reading on this and I agree with it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ed johnson &#8211; Public prices are set by a political process (though called &#8220;administrative pricing,&#8221; which is a misnomer). Private prices are set by negotiation, and are subject to forces of market power. The extent to which any price is sufficient depends in large part on cost. MedPAC&#8217;s report, to which I linked in an <a href="http://theincidentaleconomist.com/the-health-care-cost-shifting-myth/" rel="nofollow">earlier post</a> on this topic is good reading on this and I agree with it.</p>
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		<title>By: ed johnson</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-571</link>
		<dc:creator>ed johnson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 01:03:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-571</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the response.  And you&#039;re right, it&#039;s kind of beside the point as far as the topic of the post.

I objected because I have been hearing lots of pundits casually mentioning the importance of  monopsony market power ideas in a variety of contexts as if it were totally obvious, even where it may be completely misguided. 

I&#039;m still not clear on what you believe causes differences in prices between public and private insurance.  I&#039;ll be interested in looking at some of your other posts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the response.  And you&#8217;re right, it&#8217;s kind of beside the point as far as the topic of the post.</p>
<p>I objected because I have been hearing lots of pundits casually mentioning the importance of  monopsony market power ideas in a variety of contexts as if it were totally obvious, even where it may be completely misguided. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m still not clear on what you believe causes differences in prices between public and private insurance.  I&#8217;ll be interested in looking at some of your other posts.</p>
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		<title>By: Brady Augustine</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-570</link>
		<dc:creator>Brady Augustine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 00:52:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-570</guid>
		<description>@Austin Frakt: I agree with MedPAC&#039;s analysis and your differentiation of differentials and shifts. Personally, I think the points you raise are not as well known as they should be. The phrases &quot;hidden tax&quot; and &quot;cost-shifting&quot; are often dropped into the health reform debate by knowledgeable persons at times of inattentiveness or convenience (including myself). ~BAA</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Austin Frakt: I agree with MedPAC&#8217;s analysis and your differentiation of differentials and shifts. Personally, I think the points you raise are not as well known as they should be. The phrases &#8220;hidden tax&#8221; and &#8220;cost-shifting&#8221; are often dropped into the health reform debate by knowledgeable persons at times of inattentiveness or convenience (including myself). ~BAA</p>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-569</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 00:24:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-569</guid>
		<description>@ed johnson - Fine. I&#039;m not going to argue your McDonald&#039;s points. I think you know what I meant. We can use another example. In fact I gave one. 

See the posts under the monopsony tag: http://theincidentaleconomist.com/tag/monopsony/ .</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ed johnson &#8211; Fine. I&#8217;m not going to argue your McDonald&#8217;s points. I think you know what I meant. We can use another example. In fact I gave one. </p>
<p>See the posts under the monopsony tag: <a href="http://theincidentaleconomist.com/tag/monopsony/" rel="nofollow">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/tag/monopsony/</a> .</p>
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		<title>By: ed johnson</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/price-differentials-are-not-evidence-of-cost-shifting/comment-page-1/#comment-568</link>
		<dc:creator>ed johnson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 00:02:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2017#comment-568</guid>
		<description>You really think that the reason McDonald&#039;s pays less for chicken is because of &quot;market power?&quot;  Really?

I&#039;d say the reason McDonald&#039;s pays less for chicken is largely because of lower real costs.  Chicken sold to McDonald&#039;s doesn&#039;t need the resources spent on distribution and marketing that are needed to get small quantities of fresh chicken to consumers.  There is little or no packaging, or overhead, or spoilage, etc. etc.  Contracting with producers probably also reduces transaction costs per unit and lowers risk for producers, thus lowering price again.  These are all real savings and have nothing to do with lowering monopoly rents for producers.

I expect the wholesale market for chicken is a quite competitive market with few monopoly rents.  The grocery market is also fairly competitive, with low margins and lots of options.  So if McDonald&#039;s pays less, it&#039;s not market power, it&#039;s real cost savings.

Can you cite any evidence for how important monopsony market power is in markets like this?  I&#039;d be sincerely interested.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You really think that the reason McDonald&#8217;s pays less for chicken is because of &#8220;market power?&#8221;  Really?</p>
<p>I&#8217;d say the reason McDonald&#8217;s pays less for chicken is largely because of lower real costs.  Chicken sold to McDonald&#8217;s doesn&#8217;t need the resources spent on distribution and marketing that are needed to get small quantities of fresh chicken to consumers.  There is little or no packaging, or overhead, or spoilage, etc. etc.  Contracting with producers probably also reduces transaction costs per unit and lowers risk for producers, thus lowering price again.  These are all real savings and have nothing to do with lowering monopoly rents for producers.</p>
<p>I expect the wholesale market for chicken is a quite competitive market with few monopoly rents.  The grocery market is also fairly competitive, with low margins and lots of options.  So if McDonald&#8217;s pays less, it&#8217;s not market power, it&#8217;s real cost savings.</p>
<p>Can you cite any evidence for how important monopsony market power is in markets like this?  I&#8217;d be sincerely interested.</p>
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