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	<title>Comments on: Health Care Costs: A Market-Theoretic View</title>
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	<description>Economics, Health Policy, Law, Life: Musings of Curious Minds.</description>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-2035</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 16:19:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2635#comment-2035</guid>
		<description>@Glenn Cassidy - I see that my original citation to 6% profit is broken. But trust me, that was the figure that was in the news at the time I wrote this post. &lt;a href=&quot;http://biz.yahoo.com/p/sum_qpmd.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Here is another source&lt;/a&gt; that suggests insurer profits are not above that level. But if what you say is right about the base for that figure, then I&#039;m wrong to say that we might, at best, cut the 15% of the insurer&#039;s costs/profit in half. If reducing the profit to zero will only cut that 15% by 6% then that&#039;s considerably less savings than I had indicated. That only strengthens my point. The real money is at the provider end.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Glenn Cassidy &#8211; I see that my original citation to 6% profit is broken. But trust me, that was the figure that was in the news at the time I wrote this post. <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/p/sum_qpmd.html" rel="nofollow">Here is another source</a> that suggests insurer profits are not above that level. But if what you say is right about the base for that figure, then I&#8217;m wrong to say that we might, at best, cut the 15% of the insurer&#8217;s costs/profit in half. If reducing the profit to zero will only cut that 15% by 6% then that&#8217;s considerably less savings than I had indicated. That only strengthens my point. The real money is at the provider end.</p>
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		<title>By: Glenn Cassidy</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-2034</link>
		<dc:creator>Glenn Cassidy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 15:17:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2635#comment-2034</guid>
		<description>I think you&#039;re using the wrong reference for the profit margin and thereby greatly understating it.  Consider if I self-insure and pay the insurer to administer.  I am spending $85 on actual medical costs and $15 to the insurer for administering for me and paying the medical providers..  $6 of the $15 is profit?  That&#039;s a margin of 40%, or a markup of 67% ($6 profit over $9 operating cost.)

If the insurer is doing the insuring, there is some added risk of actual payouts being higher or lower, and this is in part offset by a return on investing the fees.  (Premiums are paid up front and expenses paid later.)  If 6% of premiums is profit, I would expect the return on capital to be much higher than 6%, since the capital is associated with the 15% administration cost, and not the total premium amount.  (Note:  The medical providers&#039; profits are already included in that 85%.)

This reminds me of Enron claiming billions of dollars in revenues for trades that they administered, when their actual revenues were just a few percent of those billions of dollars of trades.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think you&#8217;re using the wrong reference for the profit margin and thereby greatly understating it.  Consider if I self-insure and pay the insurer to administer.  I am spending $85 on actual medical costs and $15 to the insurer for administering for me and paying the medical providers..  $6 of the $15 is profit?  That&#8217;s a margin of 40%, or a markup of 67% ($6 profit over $9 operating cost.)</p>
<p>If the insurer is doing the insuring, there is some added risk of actual payouts being higher or lower, and this is in part offset by a return on investing the fees.  (Premiums are paid up front and expenses paid later.)  If 6% of premiums is profit, I would expect the return on capital to be much higher than 6%, since the capital is associated with the 15% administration cost, and not the total premium amount.  (Note:  The medical providers&#8217; profits are already included in that 85%.)</p>
<p>This reminds me of Enron claiming billions of dollars in revenues for trades that they administered, when their actual revenues were just a few percent of those billions of dollars of trades.</p>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-935</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 22:01:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2635#comment-935</guid>
		<description>@Roger - You seem to want to argue about the 15% or the 7.5%. That&#039;s entirely beside the point. 

As for the relationship between regulation and entry, think Medicare Part D. Very regulated. 50+ plans per market.

But your points are well taken. My meta-point, mostly, is that there is a big picture and provider concentration relative to that of insurers matters. Health care costs are (mostly) not a health insurer issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Roger &#8211; You seem to want to argue about the 15% or the 7.5%. That&#8217;s entirely beside the point. </p>
<p>As for the relationship between regulation and entry, think Medicare Part D. Very regulated. 50+ plans per market.</p>
<p>But your points are well taken. My meta-point, mostly, is that there is a big picture and provider concentration relative to that of insurers matters. Health care costs are (mostly) not a health insurer issue.</p>
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		<title>By: Roger</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-934</link>
		<dc:creator>Roger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 21:38:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2635#comment-934</guid>
		<description>Insurer margins are on the low side right now and I don&#039;t know how you think a company can have 4-6% margins after tax and then run the whole operation for 3.5% of revenues for 7.5%. You may think Medicare is doing this but they are not.  

You also have to consider that corporate taxes are included in insurer&#039;s 15 percent SGA&amp;Profit number.  Futhermore, i don&#039;t know how policy maker think that the can impose regulation to micromanage a market at expect more insurers to enter it.  I would think that deregulating the market and allow more to happen across state lines would increase competition.  There are enormous costs to insurer to be licensed and meet all the different state requirements.  Additionally many politicians get confused between the effects of competition and increasing the size of risk pool for the individual and small business market.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Insurer margins are on the low side right now and I don&#8217;t know how you think a company can have 4-6% margins after tax and then run the whole operation for 3.5% of revenues for 7.5%. You may think Medicare is doing this but they are not.  </p>
<p>You also have to consider that corporate taxes are included in insurer&#8217;s 15 percent SGA&amp;Profit number.  Futhermore, i don&#8217;t know how policy maker think that the can impose regulation to micromanage a market at expect more insurers to enter it.  I would think that deregulating the market and allow more to happen across state lines would increase competition.  There are enormous costs to insurer to be licensed and meet all the different state requirements.  Additionally many politicians get confused between the effects of competition and increasing the size of risk pool for the individual and small business market.</p>
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		<title>By: Austin Frakt</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-930</link>
		<dc:creator>Austin Frakt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 18:37:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2635#comment-930</guid>
		<description>@Roger - I&#039;m happy to reduce my upper bound on cost benefits of competition from 7.5% to your best (and lower) guess. That only strengthens the argument. As this is not central there is no point in debating it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Roger &#8211; I&#8217;m happy to reduce my upper bound on cost benefits of competition from 7.5% to your best (and lower) guess. That only strengthens the argument. As this is not central there is no point in debating it.</p>
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		<title>By: Roger</title>
		<link>http://theincidentaleconomist.com/health-care-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-926</link>
		<dc:creator>Roger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 17:38:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theincidentaleconomist.com/?p=2635#comment-926</guid>
		<description>I am not a policy wonk or professional economist by any means but I do not understand how increased competition in the form of a public option (if that could be considered fair competition) could cut your Profit, Admin, Management number from 15% to 7.5%.  Perfect competition would imply margins with zero monopoly rents but still would include a market cost of capital.  The regulated electrical utilities have net margins in the 6-10% range after tax and that might be a reasonable comparison for a cost of capital figure in a highly regulated industry like healthcare.  The current after tax margins for the big manager care companies is more in 4% range.  Furthermore, you do not include an underwriting risk premium in your margin.  The government numbers for Medicare operating costs touted by politicians don&#039;t include any risk premium or cost of capital but show costs show up in the top line numbers that the taxpayers must cover.  


I would be much more concerned about saving in the 85% provider area.  As far as I can see, in the cities that I have visited lately, there are lots of new or newly renovated shiny hospitals and outpatient surgery centers.  Most doctors in private practice who perform surgery and other medically intensive procedures at hospitals can charge monopoly rents for their service while using hospital resources for free.    Doctors also get together and build outpatient surgery centers and that undercut the local hospitals but use the local hospitals emergency rooms as backup if something goes wrong.  It is generally accepted that reduced reimbursements for doctors is a bad thing but maybe it is a good thing for the public.  Primary care is the only area where there is any significant competition among the physician credentialing organizations.  Isn’t this what competition is supposed to do?  

My direct experience in the information systems world is that most doctors do not have any incentives to implement new technologies or processes to improve care unless that investment can be directly tied to a billable procedure, i.e. a sonogram machine.  Doctors do not invest in technology that would allow them to offer a coordinated care approach that would do the most to increase efficiency and improve quality and outcomes.  They have no economic incentive to do so.  Furthermore, most private practices are single specialty practices with each doctor operating relatively independently in terms of patient care decision-making.  This doesn’t lend itself to coordinated and efficient care of the larger clinical models like Mayo.  I, as a consumer, would pay a premium to go to a practice that truly offers a coordinate care approach.  But then consumer information about physician rates and quality outcomes is extremely difficult to come by.

I recently jumped up and down and started yelling Hallelujah when my new primary doctor entered a prescription and electronically transmitted it to my pharmacy.  He thought I was going crazy until I told him that this was the first time any doctor had done so for me.  Most of the large auto body shops have much more sophisticated management and records systems than doctors do.  How will a public option that reimburses provider at close to Medicare rates make it easier for private insurers to impose lower rates and more efficiency upon providers? I don’t get it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am not a policy wonk or professional economist by any means but I do not understand how increased competition in the form of a public option (if that could be considered fair competition) could cut your Profit, Admin, Management number from 15% to 7.5%.  Perfect competition would imply margins with zero monopoly rents but still would include a market cost of capital.  The regulated electrical utilities have net margins in the 6-10% range after tax and that might be a reasonable comparison for a cost of capital figure in a highly regulated industry like healthcare.  The current after tax margins for the big manager care companies is more in 4% range.  Furthermore, you do not include an underwriting risk premium in your margin.  The government numbers for Medicare operating costs touted by politicians don&#8217;t include any risk premium or cost of capital but show costs show up in the top line numbers that the taxpayers must cover.  </p>
<p>I would be much more concerned about saving in the 85% provider area.  As far as I can see, in the cities that I have visited lately, there are lots of new or newly renovated shiny hospitals and outpatient surgery centers.  Most doctors in private practice who perform surgery and other medically intensive procedures at hospitals can charge monopoly rents for their service while using hospital resources for free.    Doctors also get together and build outpatient surgery centers and that undercut the local hospitals but use the local hospitals emergency rooms as backup if something goes wrong.  It is generally accepted that reduced reimbursements for doctors is a bad thing but maybe it is a good thing for the public.  Primary care is the only area where there is any significant competition among the physician credentialing organizations.  Isn’t this what competition is supposed to do?  </p>
<p>My direct experience in the information systems world is that most doctors do not have any incentives to implement new technologies or processes to improve care unless that investment can be directly tied to a billable procedure, i.e. a sonogram machine.  Doctors do not invest in technology that would allow them to offer a coordinated care approach that would do the most to increase efficiency and improve quality and outcomes.  They have no economic incentive to do so.  Furthermore, most private practices are single specialty practices with each doctor operating relatively independently in terms of patient care decision-making.  This doesn’t lend itself to coordinated and efficient care of the larger clinical models like Mayo.  I, as a consumer, would pay a premium to go to a practice that truly offers a coordinate care approach.  But then consumer information about physician rates and quality outcomes is extremely difficult to come by.</p>
<p>I recently jumped up and down and started yelling Hallelujah when my new primary doctor entered a prescription and electronically transmitted it to my pharmacy.  He thought I was going crazy until I told him that this was the first time any doctor had done so for me.  Most of the large auto body shops have much more sophisticated management and records systems than doctors do.  How will a public option that reimburses provider at close to Medicare rates make it easier for private insurers to impose lower rates and more efficiency upon providers? I don’t get it.</p>
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